SANTO DOMINGO.- El Banco Central consideró que el 2021 terminó con un nivel de crecimiento que permite «afirmar con certeza» que la economía dominicana ha superado los niveles prepandemia en casi todas las actividades.
La institución financiera dijo que eso fue posible gracias a un esfuerzo conjunto de políticas públicas por parte del Gobierno y el Banco Central y a un sector privado que ha respondido a dichas políticas como propulsor del consumo y la inversión en una coyuntura difícil.
El dato está contenido en un documento titulado “Finalizando el 2021 con buenas notas: la visión positiva de la comunidad internacional sobre la economía dominicana”, realizado por el equipo de asesoría de la gobernación y publicado este miércoles en su página.
INVERSION EXTRANJERA
Dijo que también han contribuido al relanzamiento de la economía el rol «estelar» jugado por la inversión extranjera directa, las exportaciones de zonas francas y las remesas, entre otras actividades vinculadas al sector externo.
«Por eso nuevamente la comunidad internacional valora la economía dominicana de manera muy favorable, un resultado alentador si se toma en cuenta que lo hace en un periodo de crisis en el que se ha puesto a prueba la capacidad de los hacedores de política, quienes han enfrentado grandes retos y tenido que tomar decisiones en un escenario de mucha incertidumbre», indica el documento.
PERSISTEN RIESGOS
En el mismo se plantea que a pesar del éxito alcanzado hasta este momento, persisten riesgos en el escenario internacional relacionados con las nuevas variantes del virus detectadas en diversos países y con las presiones de precios de carácter global que se han intensificado durante la recuperación económica.
“Este último elemento ha traído consigo un cambio en el ciclo monetario de los países que, en muchos casos, han acelerado el retiro de los estímulos monetarios y la normalización de los niveles de las tasas de política monetaria con el objetivo de moderar las presiones inflacionarias y defender la estabilidad macroeconómica”, dice.
En el estudio se citan las opiniones de agencias calificadoras internacionales sobre el tema, al respecto Standard and Poor´s proyecta un crecimiento de 6%, tasa por encima del potencial de la economía dominicana, mientras que Fitch espera que la deuda pública no financiera se sitúe en 49 % del PIB en 2022-23, muy por debajo del promedio de 57% del PIB de otras economías con calificación BB.
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